Honduras: perverse or viable alternatives

You have not written to me for days.
Did you take off the internet?
Or are you on the streets?
Or is it that you do not love me anymore?

Sincerely:

Your cloth of tears: the blog

Honduras returned to the world arena, after little was said about this little piece of the puzzle that was forced into the Central American isthmus. The few stories that were read outside were already obsolete, hurricane Mitch, the president eating melon, the survivors of the dirty cays, in short, little goes abroad and remains in the indifference of those who have never visited the Central American region, It has a great cultural, ecological and historical richness.

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But finally, after a week of crisis, today the Secretary General of the United Nations, who, as we all know, makes contact with Honduras. Ñurda And days, comes with a certain pessimism, it is not yet known whether to ask or tell and before this happens, here are some alternatives out of my conversations with the lord of the goldfish in Macondo:

1. That there is no truce, Zelaya must return to finish his six months

This may be the position of the international organizations in which Zelaya has found support, however the polarization within the country is complicated by the link that this has with the line of Chávez. It becomes more difficult because if so, the chaos would continue for six months, and who knows if they would consider illegitimate acts that these days have happened as the approval of the reforms to the law of municipalities (which is good for all) , also the accusations that exist against his cabinet.

Another complicated aspect of this would be the inevitable discredit to the state institutions or civil society that have declared disagreement or illegality with the actions of the executive power, such as Supreme Court, National Congress, Public Prosecutor's Office, Catholic Church, Evangelical Church, Commissioner Of Human Rights, Armed Forces, among others.

2. That the crisis be resolved with a referendum and that the people decide

This departure has been proposed by Human Rights, which proposes that through a legal instrument of voting with oversight of international organizations, the people decide whether they want Zelaya to return or not.

With this we could all be happy, support whatever the decision for the next six months that are just missing for the November 2009 planned elections. If dark feelings are thrown away, we could live in bearable chaos ... difficult but it is an option.

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3. That the interim government decides not to negotiate

It would imply that there is an extreme position, in which one does not want to accept any kind of agreement in favor of peace, even denying the option of a referendum on the basis that everything that happened is within the legal framework. This would mean that at the international level, the country must fight to make what seems to be a lie to be true, proposed by those who seem to be liars against those who have always lied to us, plus the social tension that supports Zelaya who would end up seeking the support of the left .

The most damaging of this is that civil war is inevitable, because as happened in El Salvador, money and weapons would enter from the Chavismo line and there is one more aggravating factor: if drug trafficking and organized crime are involved, the movement would be unstoppable. In El Salvador the left won the battle in the mountainous area, which is little by little; in Honduras, the entire territory is mountainous, which would make the left have another advantage.

4. Let the ideology put the noses

This would imply that the United States and Venezuela take from the depths of their livers the intention to take sides for ideological and expansionist purposes (a plaintive cry that is not heard but we all know that accompanies all this as the black sorcerer of the movie "Australia" ). It means that Venezuela would seek that the left tendency take an important bastion in the Central American region, one more to what is already Nicaragua (which always has been), El Salvador (where the FMLN won the elections) and Guatemala (although not it gives color, it is left-leaning). But on the other hand, that the United States tries to recover ground. This is in doubt because Obama has entered with a low profile, and as we see things, the strategy regarding Iraq is to withdraw before telling the truths of a foreign struggle; and for the United States, Honduras is an insignificant point on the tablecloth. But I do not think he considers the Chavista influence insignificant, which already includes several countries in the Southern Cone and Central America, and that also has strong ties with Communist China and Iran.

If the ideological struggle gets into the subject, we will all lose, because it is the same as the religious struggle, of which no one has ever been able to give us a conscious explanation more than superficial pleas for forgiveness a century later.

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Every day the marches in defense or against the president are greater, but without contingency or proposals. Only poetic shouts that can end in that things are resolved at a political level and the necessary changes are not made.

Whatever happens, we want peace and that the country assumes necessary transformations.

Photos are taken from Flickr about Crisis in Honduras.

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